HAMweather.com Area Forecast Discussion for County Warning Area OUN

Thu, 16 Feb 2012 08:43:30 GMT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST WED FEB 15 2012

.AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS WITH MAINLY MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. NAM12 RH FIELDS MORE AGGRESSIVE
WITH DEVELOPING CLOUDS WEST BUT FOR NOW WILL BRING CLOUDS INTO
OUN/OKC/LAW. CLOUDS SHOULD CLEAR MOST AREAS BY 12-14Z THURSDAY.
HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 629 PM CST WED FEB 15 2012/

AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS WITH MFVR CEILINGS SHOULD EXPAND/DEVELOP SOUTHEAST
THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA. CLOUDS SHOULD CLEAR ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AFTER
6Z BUT MAY LINGER PAST 12Z AT OKC/OUN. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL
TONIGHT WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS RETURNING ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
BY 21Z THURSDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 PM CST WED FEB 15 2012/ 

DISCUSSION...
TWO BOUNDARIES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT... THE PACIFIC FRONT/DRYLINE THAT HAS JUST MOVED EAST OF
INTERSTATE 35... AND THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA. HIGH HUMIDITY IN THE LOW LEVELS IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT... BUT SIGNAL FOR LOW CLOUDS AND/OR FOG IS NOT AS
STRONG AS IT HAS BEEN OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS. SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE THIS
WEEK. MODELS ARE BECOMING MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPMENT ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEREFORE HAVE INCREASED POPS
SOME. UPPER PATTERN REDEVELOPS SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BY LATE SUNDAY
AS ANOTHER TROF DEVELOPS IN THE WESTERN U.S. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO
APPROACH THE AREA NEXT TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  34  54  34  56 /   0   0  10  10 
HOBART OK         31  52  33  53 /   0   0   0  10 
WICHITA FALLS TX  36  53  36  57 /   0   0  10  20 
GAGE OK           21  51  27  55 /   0   0   0  10 
PONCA CITY OK     29  52  29  55 /  10   0  10  10 
DURANT OK         40  56  39  58 /   0   0  10  20 

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.